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Gold volatility
How much gold has actually moved: realized volatility over 7, 30 and 90 days, from hourly prices of the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual, and where today's level sits in its history since December 2025. Last updated 28 October 2026, 08:50 UTC.
Right now (08:50 UTC): Gold's 30-day realized volatility is 18.4 % (annualized); 7-day 19.8 %, 90-day 20.9 %. That is a typical daily move of about ±$39 (one standard deviation) at 4,064.62. Watch it live: GEX on the chart →
Gold volatility right now
Updated 28 Oct 2026, 08:50 UTC · descriptive data, not advice
- Gold's 30-day realized volatility is 18.4 % (annualized); 7-day 19.8 %, 90-day 20.9 %. That is a typical daily move of about ±$39 (one standard deviation) at 4,064.62.
- The 30-day figure is higher than on 3 % of days since 11 Dec 2025 (range 17.9–49.2 %).
- A week ago it was 18.3 %, a month ago 22.5 %.
30-day realized volatility, last 90 days
Since the contract started (December 2025)
Then and now
| Realized vol, 30 d | |
|---|---|
| Now | 18.4 % |
| 1 day ago | 18.6 % |
| 7 days ago | 18.3 % |
| 30 days ago | 22.5 % |
How it is calculated
- Hourly closing prices of the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual (1 contract = 1 troy ounce), around the clock.
- Log returns over the last 168, 720 and 2,160 hours (7, 30 and 90 days), zero mean, annualized with 8,760 hours.
- The typical daily move is the price times the annual figure divided by the square root of 365.
- History starts on 11 December 2025, when Binance listed the contract, so the range and the percentile cover that period only.
Because the perpetual trades 24/7, the hours when spot gold is closed (weekends, the daily break) count too; they move little, and the jump when spot reopens lands in the first hour. In our checks over 30 to 300 days this gave results within about 2 percentage points of the usual method on daily closes of trading days, in both directions. Compare it with itself over time rather than with other sources.
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FAQ
What is realized volatility?
How much the price actually moved, expressed as a yearly percentage. A 30-day realized volatility of 18 % means that, at the pace of the last 30 days, a one-standard-deviation move over a year would be about 18 %.
Why can gold's volatility differ from other sites?
This page uses every hour of a 24/7 contract, including weekends and breaks when spot gold is closed. Sites that use daily closes of trading days, or COMEX futures, measure the same moves another way. In our checks over 30 to 300 days the results differed by up to about 2 percentage points, in both directions.
Is there an implied volatility for gold here?
Not yet. This page shows realized volatility only: how much gold has moved, measured from our own price data.
Is high volatility a signal?
It describes how much the price has been moving, not where it goes next. Descriptive data, not a forecast or advice.
How often is it updated?
Every 10 minutes. The 90-day chart has one point per hour, the long chart one point a day at 00:00 UTC.