For traders in the United States
Bitcoin for US traders: times in ET, Fed odds and sentiment
The times that move Bitcoin, in Eastern Time with daylight saving handled for you, the market's odds for the next Fed decisions and the crypto Fear & Greed Index. Free, no sign-up.
Right now (21:15 UTC): Polymarket odds for the Fed decision in October (market closes 29 Oct 2026): no change 95 %, 25 bps increase 4 %.
Fed rate odds
Fed Decision in October?
Market closes 2026-10-29 · odds from Polymarket
Fed Decision in December?
Market closes 2026-12-10 · odds from Polymarket
Fed Decision in January?
Market closes 2027-01-28 · odds from Polymarket
Crypto Fear & Greed
Crypto Fear & Greed Index today · data: alternative.me
Last 30 days, 0 = extreme fear, 100 = extreme greed.
The times that matter, in ET
| Event | Eastern Time | |
|---|---|---|
| US stock market opens | 9:30 AM ET | the busiest hour for Bitcoin flow |
| US CPI, jobs report and PCE releases | 8:30 AM ET | on release days |
| FOMC rate decision | 2:00 PM ET | press conference 2:30 PM |
| US stock market closes | 4:00 PM ET | |
| CME Bitcoin futures: weekly reopen | Sun 6:00 PM ET | the weekend "CME gap" is measured from Friday's close |
| CME Bitcoin futures: daily break | 5:00-6:00 PM ET | and weekend close Fri 5:00 PM ET |
| Global Bitcoin options expiry (Deribit, OKX, Bybit) | 4:00 AM ET | 08:00 UTC daily; weekly on Friday · max pain · how expiry works |
| Perpetual futures funding | 8:00 PM ET, 4:00 AM ET, 12:00 PM ET | every 8 hours (00:00, 08:00, 16:00 UTC) · live funding rate |
| Daily candle close | 8:00 PM ET | 00:00 UTC; 1D candles on most charts |
Gold, in ET
Gold has the same live tools as Bitcoin on Swiftedge, on the Binance XAUUSDT perpetual: the gold order book heatmap, live gold order flow, a daily gold report and every gold session in your time. XAUUSDT is a perpetual future, not spot gold or the COMEX future.
| Gold | Eastern Time | |
|---|---|---|
| Spot gold and COMEX: weekly reopen | Sun 6:00 PM ET | the XAUUSDT perpetual keeps trading over the weekend |
| LBMA gold auction, morning | 6:30 AM ET | 10:30 London; Swiftedge shows the time, not the LBMA price |
| COMEX gold opens | 8:20 AM ET | |
| LBMA gold auction, afternoon | 11:00 AM ET | 15:00 London |
| COMEX gold settlement | 1:30 PM ET | |
| Daily break | 5:00-6:00 PM ET | Monday to Thursday; weekly close Fri 5:00 PM ET |
| XAUUSDT funding | every 4 hours | at 8:00 PM ET, 12:00 AM ET, 4:00 AM ET, 8:00 AM ET, 12:00 PM ET, 4:00 PM ET (00:00, 04:00 ... 20:00 UTC) · live gold funding rate |
Gold moves on the same US releases, mostly through real yields and the dollar: the 10-year real yield is 2.66 % and the broad dollar index (Fed) 121.32 (FRED, 26 Oct 2026). The gold macro dashboard has both against the gold price and the next US data.
Fed odds and sentiment right now
Updated 27 Oct 2026, 21:15 UTC · descriptive data, not advice
- Polymarket odds for the Fed decision in October (market closes 29 Oct 2026): no change 95 %, 25 bps increase 4 %.
- Polymarket odds for the Fed decision in December (market closes 10 Dec 2026): 25 bps increase 76 %, no change 21 %.
- Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 48 (Neutral), data: alternative.me.
Watch it live
Bitcoin order book heatmap Levels today Alerts on your phone
Common questions
When does Bitcoin trade most actively in the US?
Around the US stock market open at 9:30 AM ET and on US data releases at 8:30 AM ET. Bitcoin trades around the clock, but US hours bring the largest order flow; watch it live in Swiftedge Depth.
What are the odds of a Fed rate change?
For the Fed decision in October, Polymarket traders price no change at 95 %. These are market odds, not a forecast.
What is the CME gap?
CME Bitcoin futures close on Friday at 5:00 PM ET and reopen on Sunday at 6:00 PM ET, while Bitcoin keeps trading. If the price moves over the weekend, the futures chart shows a gap between Friday's close and Sunday's open.
What does the Fear & Greed Index measure?
A daily 0-100 sentiment score for crypto from alternative.me, built from volatility, momentum, social media and other inputs. It describes mood, it does not predict price.
Data, not advice. Swiftedge shows market data. It is not a broker or adviser, and nothing here is a recommendation to trade. Prediction-market odds are not a forecast.