Guide

Ethereum liquidation heatmap explained

By Swiftedge · Published

An Ethereum liquidation heatmap shows the prices where leveraged ETH futures positions would be closed by force. Bright bands below the price are longs, bright bands above are shorts. None of it is observed directly: every liquidation heatmap is a model built on open interest and an assumption about leverage. This guide shows how that model works for ETH, what the numbers looked like on 20 October 2026, and why ETH behaves differently from Bitcoin.

What the map shows

Traders on ETH perpetual futures can hold positions far larger than their margin. If price moves against them by roughly one divided by their leverage, the exchange closes the position with a market order: a liquidation. A long is closed by selling, a short by buying. A liquidation heatmap estimates where those forced orders would sit:

Where ETH positions get liquidated

The distance to a liquidation depends almost only on leverage. For a position opened at 2,400 USD:

LeverageMove that liquidatesLong opened at 2,400Short opened at 2,400
5×19.5 %1,9322,868
10×9.5 %2,1722,628
25×3.5 %2,3162,484
50×1.5 %2,3642,436
100×0.5 %2,3882,412

Simplified: entry × (1 − 1/leverage + maintenance margin) for a long, entry × (1 + 1/leverage − maintenance margin) for a short, with a 0.5 % maintenance margin and no fees or added margin. Exchanges use tiered margins, so real prices differ slightly.

That is why the bands nearest the price come from high leverage and the distant ones from low leverage. A 100× position lives inside a 12-dollar range; a 5× position survives a move of almost 500 dollars. Because ETH regularly moves 3-5 % in a day, the 25× to 100× bands near the price are created and wiped out again all the time.

How our ETH heatmap is built

  1. Every 5 minutes we add up open interest in the ETH USDT perpetuals on Binance, Bybit and OKX.
  2. When open interest rises, new positions were opened at that window's average price. We split them into longs and shorts by the share of aggressive buying and selling on Binance in the same window.
  3. Each new position is spread over the leverage mix in the FAQ below, and gets a liquidation price for each leverage.
  4. When open interest falls, all open levels shrink by the same share. When price trades through a level, it is removed.
  5. The model runs over the last 7 days, so older positions are included; the map shows the last three days, with a price step of 1 dollar.

Every step is an assumption: some traders add margin, some are hedged elsewhere, and the leverage mix is a guess. That is why we check the result against the real ETH liquidations and print the score on the page.

ETH compared with Bitcoin

The same model runs for both coins, which makes them easy to compare. A snapshot from 20 October 2026:

EthereumBitcoin
Open interest, Binance + Bybit + OKX (USDT perpetuals)$8.9B$15.3B
Estimated liquidation levels on the map$2.3B (26 % of OI)$4.3B (28 % of OI)
… of which within 5 % of price$0.84B (9 % of OI)$2.23B (15 % of OI)
Real liquidations, last 24 hours$12.3M (1,684 orders)$10.0M (959 orders)
Real liquidations per dollar of open interest0.14 %0.07 %
Model check, longs / shorts (rank correlation)0.73 / 0.700.66 / 0.53
Price movement alone, longs / shorts0.43 / 0.380.36 / 0.26
Price step on the map$1$50

Snapshot of 20 October 2026, about 13:00 UTC, with ETH at 2,392 and BTC at 81,385. The model check covers the previous 27 hours in 5-minute windows. All numbers change every 5 minutes on the live pages.

How to read it

See where ETH liquidations sit right now.The ETH liquidation heatmap updates every 5 minutes and is checked against real liquidations. Free, no sign-up.

Open the ETH liquidation heatmap

Common questions

Is there a free Ethereum liquidation heatmap?

Yes. The Swiftedge ETH liquidation heatmap is free, needs no sign-up and updates every 5 minutes from open interest on Binance, Bybit and OKX.

How accurate is an ETH liquidation heatmap?

It is an estimate. Exchanges do not publish where each position would be liquidated. We measure how well the map lines up with the liquidations that really happened; on 20 October 2026 the rank correlation was 0.73 for longs and 0.70 for shorts, against 0.43 and 0.38 for price movement alone. The live number is on the heatmap page.

What leverage does the map assume?

5x (10 %), 10x (25 %), 25x (30 %), 50x (25 %) and 100x (10 %) of new positions, with a 0.5 % maintenance margin. Real leverage is not public, so this is an assumption, shown openly.

Why do bands disappear?

When price trades through a band, the positions there would have been liquidated, so the band is removed. When open interest falls, all bands shrink by the same share, because positions were closed.

Does ETH move to the brightest band?

The map shows where forced orders could appear, not where price will go. We do not claim bands act as magnets, and nothing on this page is a forecast or advice.

Where can I see real ETH liquidations?

On Ethereum liquidations today, and live on the chart in Swiftedge Depth for ETH with the Liquidations indicator.

Terms on this page: Liquidation, Perpetual futures, Open interest, Funding rate, Order book heatmap, Max pain.

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